College Football Handicapping Information With In-Depth Analysis-Week 1 Picks

Well tonight is the big night or what we all in the professional handicapping business call “Christmas in August.” Its officially the beginning of the NCAA college football season tonight at 8 PM on ESPN as the LSU Tigers get set to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogz in a nationally televised game. The game currently carries a spread of 17 1/2 to the road team(MS) and this game figures on becoming a showcase to the national championship hopes of LSU. While I have a strong preferance with this pick, I will save my analysis for later in the article. techpiled

As the title of this article states, I am here to offer some specific handicapping advice for Week 1 of the college football season. Now our professional handicappers have been at work all spring and summer long breaking down every team in D-1 with the express purpose of being ready to successfully handicap our games from the get-go like always. For those who aren’t familiar with us, we our currently in our tenth year of professional existence and our website can be accessed by clicking on the link at the bottom of this page. We offer deep analysis and handicapping info on NFL and NCAA football, MLB, NHL, and NCAA b-ball. Out ten year cumulative handicapping record puts us at the 59 percent success mark and has made us a source of trust for many in this line of recreation. What us so good at what we do is that we don’t make boastful claims of pickign at 80 percent(which no one possibly do). We are realistic when it comes to this game as our nearly 60 percent mark is genuinely legit and has allowed us to bring in hundreds of loyal subscribers each year. We have over 4 dozen time-tested game scenarios and trends that we specifically look out for and that have been proven to be big winners. This has enabled us to have great success in this very unpredictable game. So enough with the preaching. Lets look at a few of the trends we like to look at when evaluating Week 1 games specifically. realisticmag

Now week 1 in any sport is a very difficult time for almost all handicappers. The new season brings lots of questions about a team’s legitimacy and whether a team really is as good as they look to be in their press clippings. So you must tread with great caution in week 1. Since this article is about college football, we will stick with this sport in discussing potential pitfalls. mommasays

One thing linesmakers like to do in Week 1 is overinflate the betting lines when a big name, championship caliber team is involved. No one knows before Week 1 whether these so-called “Big Time” teams really do have what it takes to succeed and whether they are fraudulent contenders. Many a team has come into the year with big plans and hype, only to fall flat on their faces. So what you see many a time are these teams giving a bigger than usual amount of points to their underdog opponents and thus in turn make these underdogs live bets. Looking at the lines heading into week 1, we see this scenario unfolding in a bunch of games. Here are some games where a much hyped team is giving a ton of points to its opponent without having anything to show for warranting such favoritism.

WEST VIRGINIA 24 W. Michigan

VIRGINIA TECH 24 East Carolina

MIAMI 18 Marshall

NEBRASKA 21 Nevada

UCLA 17 Stanford

TCU 21 Baylor

OKLAHOMA 40 1/2 North Texas

TEXAS 38 1/2 Arkansas State

PENN STATE 38 Fla. International


These are just some of those type of games mentioned above. Now we don’t feel that all of these favorites won’t cover the spread! We are just simply pointing out how these numbers are so large with no games being played to warrant this type of line. Week 1 historically has seen underdogs dominate the covers and so you must be on the lookout for these types of LIVE PLAYS in order to maximize your intake. Now we like a number of the underdogs listed above along with some of the favorites but since we are a business, I can’t simply give them to you on here. I have broken down two of these games for free on the website but the others are part of our Week 1 subscription package which includes between 15-18 games each week with 5 BEST BETS that have come in successfully at around 65%!

So hence we have our first lesson for college football 2007. I have dozens of more game-winning trends like this that I will periodically share from time to time so make sure you check us out.

BIG 12 Conference:

IOWA STATE(-3 1/2) VS. Kent State: This will make the first game of new Iowa State head coach Gene Chizik and figure on the Cyclones to come out flying in front of the home fans on Thursday night. Chizik is a very detail oriented, disciplined coach, which was lacking under the previous coaching regime and so expect Iowa State to show a great deal of spark and determination as they look to impress their new leader. Iowa State should be able to put up points as Chizik inherits talented QB Bret Meyer and WR Todd Blythe and this matchup is key since Kent State struggled all last season stopping the opposing teams passing offense. Kent State is also adept at putting up points however as QB Julian Edelman is a big time passer who always gives his team a chance. RB Eugene Jarvis should also have a big year running behind the mammoth Kent State offensive line. When you break it down, this game should be a shootout and in that type of scenario, you go with the points when it’s more than 3. THE PICK: KENT STATE(+3 1/2) For more Info please visit these sites:-

Colorado(2 1/2) VS. Colorado State(In Denver): What a way to start the season for both clubs as Denver will host these historic rivals in a battle for ultimate state bragging rights. Was a mild surprise to see Dan Hawkins’ listed as the favorite year due to the fact they struggled mightily in 2006 finishing off games. Hawkins was the right hire for this team in more ways than just game preparation but this team still needs to infuse itself with more talent and less me-first players that marred the previous regimes. This will take time and thus 2007 figures to be another year of struggle for the Buffaloes. As far as Colorado State is concerned, this team definitely can get into the bowl picture as RB Kyle Bell is back healthy after a torn ACL hurt his 2006 production. Any team that can run the ball in the Big 12 is a plus and Colorado State should be able to control the game with its running back and open it up with the occasional big pass from QB Caleb Hanie. Colorado State returns 20 starters altogether and this veteran presence should allow it to deal with the opening game jitters much better than their younger counterparts in the high altitude community. THE PICK: Colorado State(+2 1/2)


Missouri(-5) VS. Illinois: This game is one of the toughest on the schedule to handicap as its being played at a neutral site in St. Louis and also due to the fact that both teams can go either way as we enter the 2007 season. Illinois looks to be a team on the rise as all of fantastic recruiting that head coach Ron Zook has done over the years should pay great dividends this year. Missouri on the other hand has the looks of a potent offense as they return 9 starters from that unit. The Tigers are led by QB Chase Daniel who made great strides in 2006 and who will have two star TE’s in Chase Coffman and Martin Rucker. These two will be incredibly tough matchups all season to opponents as their speed and pass-catching ability will make it tough for most defenses. On the other side of the ball is where the problems lie as the Tigers were atrocious at stopping both the pass and the run last season. So winnings shootouts might be the way this team gets itself into bowl contention. As far as Illinois is concerned, the defense returns fifth-year senior J Leman who racks up tackles by the boatload while also adding three top-100 recruits. The offense also returns QB Juice Williams and RB Rashard Mendenhall. So the pieces are in place for a step up in level of play. This game however will be won with the offense as Missouri’s largely intact unit should put up a ton of points on a talented but green Illinois defense. Illinois QB Williams is a great runner but struggles with his accuracy and so a weak Missouri D should not be pressured as much as they would with a more high powered offensive opponent. Give Illinois time and they will be good to possibly great. This is the season opener however and so go with the more experienced, game-ready squad. THE PICK: Missouri(-5)


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